Fresh forecast for the US dollar to ruble exchange rate for 2018 – a table with currency forecasts by month. Thoughts from experts about the prospects for the USD/RUB betting rate in Russia.
New forecast for the dollar exchange rate. Will you grow?
The axis assesses the prospects for the dollar in the fall and winter of 2018 Kira Yukhtenko, chief editor of InvestFuture and stock market observer:
Until we are given the residual version of US sanctions against Russia, it will not be easy for the dollar to firmly establish itself below 65 rubles. The lack of importance for investors is too high. We don’t know whether we will face sanctions from Russian state banks or whether we will be subject to a fence on Volodnia by Russian state bonds.
In my opinion, the most likely future scenario is that when the leaves fall, the ruble will decline with increased volatility. After the elections to the US Congress on the 6th fall, Trump and Putin's rivalries on the 11th fall, the American side will turn around before the sanctions are agreed upon. During this period, dollars can go up for 70 and up for 75 rubles.
In fact, the sanctions may not turn out to be as severe as the market fears. And since the price of Brent naphtha is going down to as much as 70 dollars per boat until the end of the year, the ruble is taking away the chance of appreciation.
However, don’t waste your money: economies are already ahead of the new light crisis in 2019-2020. As gloomy forecasts come true, the currencies of all countries suffer, including the ruble.
What will happen to the dollar to ruble exchange rate in 2018?
Dollar/ruble betting chart (Weekly)
No one can accurately calculate the dollar exchange rate - many factors must simultaneously take their part in its formation. However, considering the high foreign political risks and structural problems in the Russian economy, experts agree in the Duma: the ruble exchange rate may continue to decline in the spring and rise into 2018.
For example, at the end of 2018, the dollar to ruble exchange rate may rise to 73-75 rubles. If you want to buy currency to save on a trivial term, listen to the joys of economists: if the exchange rate is reduced, you can use it for purchases
Officials riziku for the ruble
- The Federal Reserve System (FRS) continues to raise interest rates, which puts a long-term pressure on the currencies of all countries that are developing.
- The release of the final package of anti-Russian sanctions from the United States at the end of 2018. Additional sanctions are also possible from the EU and Great Britain.
- It is possible to reduce prices for naphtha - the United States is pushing for Russia and Saudi Arabia to “raise” the price through an increased production rate
- Trade wars around the world - a possible increase in the growth rate of all the largest economies in the world
Officials to support the ruble
- The Central Bank of the Russian Federation raised the key rate in the spring of 2018, and also increased currency purchases for the Ministry of Finance as part of the budget until the end of the year. This decision allowed the exchange rate to stabilize at the spring.
- Until the fall, the price of naphtha continued to increase due to OPEC, leaving a deficit in the market.
Because they respect the economy, most positive officials are limiting the potential for weakening of the ruble in the coming months. Without them, the Russian currency is in danger of plummeting.
Dollar forecast for 2018. Table
Based on the forecasts of 11 stock market analysts, we have compiled average forecasts for the USD/RUB pair over the months. The data in the table is indicated at the end of the month.
| Month | Average forecast for the end of the month, crb. |
| Zhovten 2018 | 67,98 |
| Leaf fall 2018 | 70,39 |
| Breast 2018 | 68,25 |
Forecasts for the end of 2018 by month
Dollar forecast for 2018
The consensus forecast for the dollar to ruble exchange rate for 2018 is 67.98 rubles. Zhovten may turn out to be a difficult month for the ruble: check the details of US sanctions against Russia and the fight against panic in the middle of the country.
Dollar forecast for leaf fall 2018
The consensus forecast for the dollar to ruble exchange rate for leaf fall 2018 is 70.39 rubles. On November 6, elections will be held before the US Congress, and after this date, Republicans and Democrats can renew negotiations on anti-Russian sanctions.
Dollar forecast for breastfeeding 2018
The consensus forecast for the exchange rate between the dollar and the ruble in 2018 is 68.25 rubles. The market's focus will remain on the Fed's meeting to clarify the central bank's plans for 2019.
The current economic minds that have formed in our region at the end of the day are worried that most people are actively interested in changes in the value of currencies, so fresh forecast for the dollar exchange rate for 2017 melodiously, to tskat the rich inhabitants of the region.
In fact, for every Russian, the stability of his financial state is directly related to the processes that take place in foreign and domestic markets, including the change in exchange rates. It is important to understand that the value of the national currency will soon be exchanged for hundreds of other pennies, for example, the dollar.
At the Ministry of Economy of our region, the Fahivians have stored special long-term forecasts for the period from 2015 to 2018. These forecasts themselves are made by world analysts and experts, who want to predict in advance the exchange rate of the dollar against the ruble equivalent. Ale, it’s a pity, clearly mean dollar to worm exchange rate It’s not so simple, even if it’s the most difficult to understand indicators that appear on the foreign exchange market. The experts themselves do not yet give specific figures, so an accurate forecast of the exchange rate between the dollar and the red currency has not yet been announced on the official level. All transferred estimates are based on ambiguous assumptions, which can only be made at current prices at exchange offices.
According to the opinion of leading Russian experts, the country risks spending up to hundreds of hundreds of investment investments over the course of two years, and at any point it will cost as much as possible. dollar to worm exchange rate. If we talk about more distant forecasts, then we talk about a possible increase in the exchange rate of the dollar to sixty rubles per unit, and experts suggest that the exchange rate is critically important at fifty-eight rubles. In order to stabilize dollar to worm exchange rate, you need to think about changing the Russian economic development through a way to obtain a power resource base. Accepted investment deposits will not be included in the value of the national currency in this case, as may be the case at the same time.
Don't care about those dollar exchange rate today more less stable, avoiding any risks that can stimulate a sharp cutting, and before which it is necessary to be prepared. Therefore, experts are in no hurry to put clear numbers on one or another political decision; the situation may change radically. Unfortunately, not knowing about the president’s plans, the most qualified fakhivtsu will not be able to make clear forecasts. One thing can be said for sure: once military conflicts are minimized, there is a great chance of worsening the situation on the foreign exchange market, and in the economy in general, and so on. Forecast for the exchange rate between dollar and cherver we will support you.
Fresh forecast for the dollar exchange rate for 2017
Today we will let you know what the dollar rate will be in 2017 and give you a fresh forecast for USD/RUB bets, which will be as close as possible to the most recent estimates. Also, the exchange rate can be based on one of three points: the top sign will be fifty rubles, the bottom sign will be fifty rubles, and the middle sign will be fifty-six rubles. Dollar exchange rate today Having stabilized for a little while, experts think that the influx may be due to a significant increase in the value of the US currency.All conditions in the light market speak about the need for Russia to focus on power resource potential, maximizing the development of power in the light of pressure and enterprise. Only by developing the economy of a country will it be possible to achieve stable performance in the market, which requires a stable financial foundation.
Fahivtsi cannot say which one is accurate dollar to worm exchange rate It is important for citizens to understand this in order to save financial resources not only in national currency, but also in foreign currency, moreover, they must save both dollars and euros.
There is still a long way to go, but experts can’t sleep, the forecast values are based on the behavior of foreign currencies. And it’s not unusual: the release period is approaching, so people want to know, if they buy tickets at the earliest, that prices will be completely in line with the dollar exchange rate. Forecast for the dollar exchange rate for the month of 2018 will help you decide to hurry up to pay for the future payment or better buy tickets immediately before your trip.
| ZMIST |
Officials who determine the behavior of foreign currencies in Russia
Robly forecast, experts focus on low factors, the behavior of which directly indicates the behavior of the dollar. The rest is not abyal: it is clear that the regularity of such a phenomenon, knowing that it is possible independently, not exactly, but within acceptable limits, transfer one dollar to another.
Also, the analysts’ forecast will be based on the following factors:
- naphtha prices;
- sanctions;
- inflation;
- economic officials;
- drank on chicken goods;
- policy for the Central Bank.
Much of this change could have an impact on the behavior of foreign currencies. Everyday expert forecasts will not be able to convey such facts as natural phenomena and disasters.
Prices for “black gold”
The remaining news no longer show a direct correlation between the dollar exchange rate and the price of naphtha: this trend is gradually going away. So, if you level the red and the chest of 2017, you can see that the dollar exchange rate has increased to 57 and 67 rubles at the same time. If you wanted a barrel of oil, you could buy it at the same price as in the previous period - 44 dollars.
Thus, a fall in nafta prices could provoke a weakening of the ruble’s position. On the other hand, the ruble’s reaction to the decline in naphtha prices is not yet forthcoming.
Sanctions
Yakbi was not sanctioned. Thus, many experts agree in the Duma that the sanctions are “sucking all the raspberries”: the ruble has significantly strengthened its position, as if the sanctions were cutting off. Ale, what a pity, and ah. The flow of foreign currency from Russia will continue and return.
Policy to the Central Bank
The main currency regulator cannot help but pay attention to the dollar exchange rate. What is the key to success and work through:
- the regional tax rate, which would be reduced as a basis for economic growth;
- currency interventions – remember how the Ministry of Finance, at the end of 2017, successfully bought up currency on the Moscow Exchange, hoping to attract people to it.
Economic indicators and inflation rate
The economy of the region is still experiencing stagnation, and the positive side of the economy has not yet experienced any major disruptions. The decrease in the inflation rate is associated with a decrease in the purchasing power.
Now the video describes in detail the factors that influence the behavior of the dollar in one way or another:
Video
Stay informed, learn, analyze, predict!
Many experts believe that the other quarter will see a slight increase in the dollar exchange rate. Below is a table of this confirmation.
This trend is unknown. It has become clear that there is a significant increase in the price of foreign currency. That’s why there’s a sense in buying travel packages now: the difference in the dollar exchange rate between the dollar and the red becomes less than 2 rubles. It is clear that without predictive values, it is still not good to blindly trust them.
Forecast for the exchange rate of the euro per cherven. Last news, thoughts from experts
What will happen to the dollar to ruble exchange rate in Russia in 2017? Is the currency cheaper and why are you afraid of devaluation of the ruble? Read the latest forecasts and thoughts from experts on InvestFuture.
Dollar – forecast for worm 2017
Over the past three years, the purchasing power of the ruble has fallen by more than 2 times - it is not surprising that at the same time there are a lot of Russians who are not closely related to the sphere of finance, as predicted by forecasts of the ruble exchange rate in Russia. So, why bother checking the exchange rate of the currency?
Most experts working with InvestFuture predict a depreciation of the ruble in 2017.
We consulted 8 independent experts: according to the consensus forecast, For example, the dollar exchange rate can be reduced to 62 rubles per unit of US currency.
Nafta fell after OPEC
How are officials going to influence the dollar exchange rate in Russia from the Russian currency? Experts believe that the growth of the ruble exchange rate depends on the dynamics of naphtha prices. On May 25, the OPEC+ meeting took place, at which representatives of the Ukrainian countries and their colleagues confirmed the continuation of the pact on the frozen production. Unfazed by many cartel members, behind the scenes the price of naphtha began to fall.
On the right is that the continuation of the freezing agreement was already insured against the price of assets. Investors suspected that on May 25 OPEC would announce such an increased commitment soon, but this did not happen. Yes, yes
The exporters, they found out, were informed: while the stench of the video bottles is disappearing, their competitors in the USA are actively growing. Regardless of the decline in prices for naphtha for bags of sustrich, below $45 dollars per barrel at the current market minds, the price is unlikely to fall, experts respect.Now on the Naftyan quotation we will immediately add new products from the USA. According to some experts, the automobile season in Chernya may slow down the decline in naphtha quotations. In addition, keep an eye on the statistics on the number of oil reserves in the United States and the number of active drilling rigs. The trends of the remaining months confirm the fear of increasing production of “black gold” in the States.
Analyst at Zenit Bank Volodymyr Yevstigniev means that the Russian
reduce the weak response to the decline in naphtha prices after the meeting in the OPEC+ format. The Russian ruble currently has no reason to decline, if the volatility of the currency markets moves up, then the Russian currency has no chance of maintaining the same level of exchange rates. Varto also notes that interest in the domestic trading market is gradually decreasing, regardless of the trend that continues, on the decline in inflationary pressure, which may be a forward signal of the gradual ignition of large-scale trading on the river in the area of cellular rates.Key rate for the Bank of Russia – forecasts
At the current meeting, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation is unable to reduce the key rate sharply for the rich – from 9.75 to 9.25% of the current rate. Most experts predicted that the regulator would lower rates. The statement to the Bank of Russia also indicates that inflation has already approached the target level of 4%, and inflation rates are continuing to decline.
Next, the CPU plans to closely monitor the dynamics of naphtha prices and “economic development as forecast.” Experts predict a reduction in rates by another 25 bp. at the meeting on June 16, 2017.
The head of the department of macroeconomic analysis at Unicredit Bank, Artem Arkhipov, emphasizes that the calculation of the rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation will be reflected in the ruble exchange rate in the first half of the ruble ahead. According to the expert’s estimates, the estimated range of ruble value for the period is 56-58.5 rubles/$.
Fed rate: stay strong
We also recommend that you pay more attention to the dynamics of interest rates in the United States. Investors expect that the Fed's red-hot rate will be raised by another 25 bp. The meeting will be held on June 14, 2017.
“The difference in interest rates between Russia and the United States in 2017 will gradually change,” reports InvestFuture editor Kira Yukhtenko. “The market will catch on to this trend and see more growth in the coming months.”
What will happen to the Karbovanets in the face of fate?
According to analysts at Citibank, by the end of 2017 the dollar exchange rate will be slightly higher, lower in the spring. The official forecast for the bank is expected to reach 60 rubles. per unit of US currency. Such a course, in the opinion of analysts, controls everyone: the government, the Central Bank, the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation, exporters, and the population.
The bank's analysts also predict that in the coming months the ruble can support stable prices for naphtha and savings on the capital trade operations. However, there are risks: we can increase the sharp decline in naphtha prices through increased production in the United States, as well as through the introduction of additional anti-Russian sanctions.